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| Factors and
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| Scenario Planning:
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| Industry
Profiles |

"The Wildlife Industry - Trends and New Challenges
for Animal Health Agencies" Report
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This paper provides a description
of the varied and changing wildlife industry and explores
some of the challenges faced by animal health agencies as
a result of emerging trends in the wildlife industry. There
has been a dramatic increase in the number of captive-held
nontraditional species. Free-ranging wildlife populations
have expanded in number and geographic range as a result
of numerous government and private conservation initiatives.
Millions of exotic animals are imported into the US
every year.
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"The
Reptile and Amphibian Communities in the United States"
Report
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The Reptile and Amphibian Communities
in the United States
The purpose of this document is to provide a general overview
of reptiles and amphibians including what they are, types
of owners, uses, international trade, and federal and state
regulations.
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"Rabbit
Industry" Report
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The emergence of Rabbit Hemorrhagic
Disease (RHD) in the U.S. has highlighted the need for an
overall picture of the rabbit industry. Rabbits in the U.S.
are a dual purpose animal, raised as both household pets
and a source of meat. Canada and Mexico also use rabbits
for dual purposes, and imports of live rabbits from Canada
are significant. The various rabbit industry groups are
linked throughout the marketing chain and there are opportunities
for rabbit producers to sell their animals in the pet, laboratory
or meat markets. Rabbits are found in all 50 states and
marketing channel interactions suggest that RHD could be
concern to both pet owners and commercial producers. This
paper describes the various U.S. rabbit industry groups,
dividing them along commercial (for profit) and hobby (not
for profit) production goals.
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| Factors and Forces
for Change |

"Market Watch" Reports |
The purpose of these reports is to
present trends in various industries or markets that have
potential implications for Veterinary Services.
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"The
Changing Times" Informational Sheets
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The purpose of these informational
sheets is to describe trends in market conditions that we
believe have significance to Veterinary Services.
- Overseas
Investments by U.S. Meat Corporations - What’s the
Future for U.S. Exports?
International commerce is increasingly the result of more
commercial activities than just exporting or importing.
Most of the top-ranked U.S.-based meat corporations are
also investing overseas in processing or production.
Market access, lower production costs, growth opportunities,
and regulation drive international location decisions.
Evidence from the broader food processing industry hints
that growth in U.S. meat exports may not decline as U.S.
meat industries expand their overseas operations to access
worldwide markets.
- Animal
Pharming: The Industrialization of Transgenic Animals, 12/99
Growing use of transgenic animals to produce human
drugs is described in a Changing Times report issued last
week by CEAH's Center for Emerging Issues. Transgenic
animals are animals which have been genetically transformed
to enable pharmaceutical production in an animal’s
milk or bodily fluids. For some drugs, a herd of 600
transgenic animals could potentially supply worldwide demand.
Although laboratory manipulation of genes in animals,
plants, and bacteria accounted for less than one percent
of world supply of human therapeutic proteins in 1998, that
one percent was valued at $12 billion, or 50 percent of
a $24 billion global market for human proteins.
- The
Wildlife Industry: Trends and Disease Issues, 9/99 The
expanding popularity of wildlife conservation and the increased
interest in domestically rearing traditionally wild animals
have resulted in many changes in the wildlife industry in
the last several decades. This informational sheet
provides a brief description of the varied and changing
wildlife industry and the impact this may have on disease
transmission.
- Composting
Food Residuals - Food Products Travel Full Circle, 1/99
This report examines growth in composting operations
set up to handle food waste products. We describe
trends in the number and location of operations and discuss
various regulatory and health issues associated with food
residual composting operations.
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Direct Marketing from Farmers to Consumers - A Growing Trend,
11/98 This report features direct marketing from
farmers to consumers, such as farmers markets and community-supported-agriculture
(CSA). We describe trends and initiatives aimed at
promoting these alternative marketing outlets.
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Current Trends and Uncertainties
for the Future of Agriculture
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This
report was prepared in response to a request from the Committee
for the Future of Veterinary Services (VS). The Committee
for the Future of VS made recommendations to the VS Management
Team regarding roles for VS in the future. The Committee
began its work by reading this assessment of current trends
affecting animal agriculture. The following areas
are covered in this report:
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| Scenario Planning |
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Scenarios for the Year 2009
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CEI prepared four scenarios for
the Committee for the Future of VS. The process CEI
used to develop the scenarios involved: identifying key
forces affecting agriculture and current trends for these
forces, determining which outcomes are inevitable and identifying
the critical uncertainties. CEI then wove these uncertainties
into plots for four plausible scenarios for the future of
U.S. animal agriculture.
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